Match preview · Thunderpick World Championship 2026

Aurora vs Ninjas in Pyjamas — match preview

15 October at 10:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Best of 3 (LAN)

Aurora come in ranked #6 in the world, Ninjas in Pyjamas #26.

Aurora meet Ninjas in Pyjamas at Thunderpick World Championship 2026. The model has not priced this one yet — it waits for the map veto, because which maps get played moves the number more than anything else on this page. What follows is what we already know about both teams.

Aurora — recent form

3 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

L vs 9z — 0–2 14 October at 10:55

W vs Spirit — 2–0 11 October at 13:30

L vs Vitality — 1–2 10 October at 15:45

W vs 1win — 2–0 9 October at 10:30

W vs FURIA — 2–1 6 October at 17:40

Across everything we have covered: Aurora won 12 of 20, and our own call was right in 14 of 20.

Ninjas in Pyjamas — recent form

3 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

L vs Falcons — 0–2 14 October at 14:20

W vs Inner Circle — 2–0 12 October at 15:20

W vs Betclic — 2–1 12 October at 12:15

L vs Sangal — 4–13 2 October at 15:00

W vs XEPT — 13–2 2 October at 14:00

Across everything we have covered: Ninjas in Pyjamas won 10 of 21, and our own call was right in 15 of 21.

Head to head

No meeting between Aurora and Ninjas in Pyjamas in our records yet — this is the first one we cover.

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

AuroraNinjas in Pyjamas

43%7 maps Cache 43%14 maps

50%8 maps Dust2 38%8 maps

62%16 maps Mirage 47%15 maps

50%8 maps Inferno 64%11 maps

78%9 maps Nuke 80%20 maps

-1 maps Ancient 67%18 maps

75%12 maps Anubis 67%3 maps

How they veto

The maps each side removes most often. Two teams that ban the same map hand the series to a third one neither wanted.

Aurora ban most often: Ancient 84%, Cache 30%, Dust2 28%

Ninjas in Pyjamas ban most often: Dust2 56%, Anubis 55%, Inferno 27%

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Aurora

woxic1.04

XANTARES1.04

Wicadia1.11

★

Jimpphat1.14

kyxsan0.96

Ninjas in Pyjamas

sjuush1.01

★

stavn1.14

xKacpersky1.10

adamb1.11

Krimbo1.09

Also at Thunderpick World Championship 2026 that day

9z vs Falcons 15 October at 13:00

When the prediction goes up

Our call publishes before kickoff, never after — that is the whole point of keeping a public record. When it does, this page fills in with the probability for each team, the per-map calls once the veto is done, and afterwards the result and whether we were right.

More on these teams

All Aurora predictions and results
All Ninjas in Pyjamas predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.