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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

Inner Circle vs Ninjas in Pyjamas — match prediction & analysis

12 October at 15:20 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Inner Circle and Ninjas in Pyjamas have shared a server 3 times in the period we track, which makes this one of the rarer matchups where the head-to-head actually means something. We weighed it against form, ranking and the map pool.

Inner Circle come in ranked #28 in the world, Ninjas in Pyjamas #26.

Our call: Inner Circle to win — 52% (a high-risk pick)

Inner Circle

✅ Cache strength: 80% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (67% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 10 wins in last 17 (60%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Anubis over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (84% bans) limits their map bargaining

Ninjas in Pyjamas

✅ Nuke strength: 80% winrate over 20 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Nuke (70% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 24 wins in last 40 (66%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Dust2 ban usage (58% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Weak head-to-head (33% versus Inner Circle) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

Inner CircleWLLWW3 of 5 won
Ninjas in PyjamasWWWWW5 of 5 won

Head to head

Inner Circle and Ninjas in Pyjamas have met 3 times in the period we track — Inner Circle 2, Ninjas in Pyjamas 1.

10 Sept 2026PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Mirage — Inner Circle13 - 0
10 Sept 2026PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Dust2 — Inner Circle13 - 11
10 Sept 2026PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Nuke — Ninjas in Pyjamas9 - 13

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Inner CircleNinjas in Pyjamas
40%5 maps Nuke 80%20 maps
50%4 maps Dust2 33%6 maps
80%5 maps Cache 43%14 maps
57%7 maps Mirage 47%15 maps
-0 maps Inferno 64%11 maps
57%7 maps Ancient 71%17 maps
33%6 maps Anubis 67%3 maps

The maps

Nuke — Ninjas in Pyjamas's pick

Dust2 — Inner Circle's pick

Cache — the decider

Our picks

🎯 Series — Inner Circle to win 2-1

🎯 Ninjas in Pyjamas to win Nuke

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Inner Circle
onic onic0.97
Dawy Dawy1.08
zeRRoFIX zeRRoFIX0.99
★ headtr1ck headtr1ck1.15
cptkurtka023 cptkurtka0231.11
Ninjas in Pyjamas
sjuush sjuush1.01
★ stavn stavn1.14
xKacpersky xKacpersky1.11
adamb adamb1.11
Krimbo Krimbo1.11

More on these teams

All Inner Circle predictions and results
All Ninjas in Pyjamas predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.