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Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

FURIA vs Aurora — match prediction & analysis

6 October at 16:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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FURIA and Aurora have shared a server 14 times in the period we track, which makes this one of the rarer matchups where the head-to-head actually means something. We weighed it against form, ranking and the map pool.

FURIA come in ranked #4 in the world, Aurora #9.

Our call: FURIA to win — 66% (a medium-risk pick)

FURIA

✅ Nuke strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Head-to-head edge: 57% versus Aurora historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (68% bans) limits their map bargaining

Aurora

✅ Nuke strength: 86% winrate over 7 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (100% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 13 wins in last 20 (65%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Ancient ban usage (85% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Weak head-to-head (43% versus FURIA) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

FURIAWLWLW3 of 5 won
AuroraWLWLW3 of 5 won

Head to head

FURIA and Aurora have met 30 times in the period we track — FURIA 17, Aurora 13.

19 Aug 2026Esports World Cup 2026 · Mirage — FURIA13 - 9
19 Aug 2026Esports World Cup 2026 · Nuke — Aurora14 - 16
19 Aug 2026Esports World Cup 2026 · Ancient — FURIA13 - 11
20 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Nuke — FURIA13 - 4
20 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Dust2 — FURIA13 - 9

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

FURIAAurora
45%11 maps Cache 50%6 maps
44%9 maps Dust2 50%6 maps
58%12 maps Mirage 62%13 maps
75%4 maps Inferno 57%7 maps
75%8 maps Nuke 86%7 maps
44%9 maps Ancient -1 maps
0%3 maps Anubis 67%9 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

FURIA
molodoy molodoy1.11
yuurih yuurih0.95
FalleN FalleN0.88
★ KSCERATO KSCERATO1.21
YEKINDAR YEKINDAR1.07
Aurora
woxic woxic1.05
XANTARES XANTARES1.04
Wicadia Wicadia1.10
★ Jimpphat Jimpphat1.15
kyxsan kyxsan0.98

More on these teams

All FURIA predictions and results
All Aurora predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.