Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

1win vs Aurora — match preview

9 October at 10:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Best of 3 (LAN)

1win come in ranked #33 in the world, Aurora #9.

1win meet Aurora at ESL Pro League Season 24. The model has not priced this one yet — it waits for the map veto, because which maps get played moves the number more than anything else on this page. What follows is what we already know about both teams.

1win — recent form

3 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

W vs Spirit — 2–0 6 October at 14:00

W vs Legacy — 2–0 5 October at 13:30

W vs G2 — 2–1 4 October at 16:00

L vs Vitality — 0–2 3 October at 13:30

L vs HEROIC — 1–2 12 September at 19:00

Across everything we have covered: 1win won 14 of 20, and our own call was right in 12 of 20.

Aurora — recent form

3 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

W vs FURIA — 2–1 6 October at 17:40

W vs BETBOOM — 2–1 5 October at 19:20

L vs Falcons — 0–2 4 October at 14:20

W vs 9z — 2–0 3 October at 16:00

L vs Vitality — 1–3 20 September at 17:00

Across everything we have covered: Aurora won 10 of 16, and our own call was right in 12 of 16.

Head to head

No meeting between 1win and Aurora in our records yet — this is the first one we cover.

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

1winAurora

50%10 maps Cache 50%6 maps

67%30 maps Dust2 43%7 maps

69%13 maps Mirage 64%14 maps

75%4 maps Inferno 57%7 maps

-0 maps Nuke 88%8 maps

56%18 maps Ancient -1 maps

38%13 maps Anubis 67%9 maps

How they veto

The maps each side removes most often. Two teams that ban the same map hand the series to a third one neither wanted.

1win ban most often: Nuke 95%, Inferno 40%, Mirage 12%

Aurora ban most often: Ancient 86%, Cache 29%, Dust2 27%

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

1win

★

Ax1Le1.16

ArtFr0st1.08

fame1.07

nafany0.97

BELCHONOKK1.05

Aurora

woxic1.04

XANTARES1.03

Wicadia1.11

★

Jimpphat1.13

kyxsan0.98

Also at ESL Pro League Season 24 that day

Vitality vs PARIVISION 9 October at 13:00
FURIA vs MOUZ 9 October at 15:30
Falcons vs Spirit 9 October at 18:00

When the prediction goes up

Our call publishes before kickoff, never after — that is the whole point of keeping a public record. When it does, this page fills in with the probability for each team, the per-map calls once the veto is done, and afterwards the result and whether we were right.

More on these teams

All 1win predictions and results
All Aurora predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.