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Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5

Astralis vs fnatic — match preview

27 October at 17:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Best of 3 (LAN)

Astralis come in ranked #16 in the world, fnatic #34.

Astralis meet fnatic at Stake Ranked Episode 5. The model has not priced this one yet — it waits for the map veto, because which maps get played moves the number more than anything else on this page. What follows is what we already know about both teams.

Astralis — recent form

4 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

L vs MIBR — 1–2 16 October at 16:00

W vs HOTU — 2–1 14 October at 15:00

W vs Sashi — 2–0 14 October at 12:00

W vs Nemiga — 3–1 4 October at 18:30

W vs Luminosity — 2–1 4 October at 14:00

Across everything we have covered: Astralis won 13 of 21, and our own call was right in 15 of 21.

fnatic — recent form

1 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

L vs The MongolZ — 0–2 21 October at 20:00

L vs PRIVATE — 0–2 21 October at 13:40

L vs PARIVISION — 1–2 20 October at 18:50

W vs Liquid — 2–0 19 October at 16:55

L vs HEROIC — 0–2 16 October at 13:25

Across everything we have covered: fnatic won 12 of 24, and our own call was right in 15 of 24.

Head to head

These two have met once in matches we covered.

W vs fnatic — 2–0 3 October at 19:30

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Astralisfnatic
82%11 maps Cache 80%20 maps
20%5 maps Dust2 27%11 maps
50%8 maps Mirage 36%11 maps
40%10 maps Inferno 64%14 maps
50%10 maps Nuke -0 maps
79%14 maps Ancient 63%19 maps
-2 maps Anubis 80%10 maps

How they veto

The maps each side removes most often. Two teams that ban the same map hand the series to a third one neither wanted.

Astralis ban most often: Anubis 68%, Dust2 48%, Mirage 18%

fnatic ban most often: Nuke 97%, Mirage 31%, Dust2 25%

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Astralis
cmtry cmtry0.95
phzy phzy1.10
★ Staehr Staehr1.19
ryu ryu1.15
siuhy siuhy0.86
fnatic
fEAR fEAR0.92
jambo jambo1.13
★ jackasmo jackasmo1.14
cairne cairne1.13
mazay mazay1.09

Also at Stake Ranked Episode 5 that day

magic vs BIG 27 October at 12:00
Inner Circle vs Nemesis 27 October at 14:30

When the prediction goes up

Our call publishes before kickoff, never after — that is the whole point of keeping a public record. When it does, this page fills in with the probability for each team, the per-map calls once the veto is done, and afterwards the result and whether we were right.

More on these teams

All Astralis predictions and results
All fnatic predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.