Nemiga vs Astralis — match prediction & analysis
On paper this is lopsided: Astralis sit 27 places above Nemiga in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Nemiga come in ranked #38 in the world, Astralis #11.
Nemiga
✅ Mirage strength: 82% winrate over 17 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Strong recent form: 35 wins in last 46 (80%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (70% bans) limits their map bargaining
Astralis
✅ Cache strength: 83% winrate over 12 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (80% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 14 wins in last 23 (65%) shows momentum
❌ Only 17% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (67% bans) limits their map bargaining
Recent form
The map pool
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
The maps
Mirage — Nemiga's pick
Ancient — Astralis's pick
Nuke — Nemiga's pick
Cache — Astralis's pick
Dust2 — the decider
Our picks
Line-ups
Nemiga
robo1.04
KaiR0N-1.20
Xant3r1.09
khaN1.11
syph01.12
Astralis
phzy1.10
HooXi0.93
jabbi1.07
Staehr1.20
ryu1.12
More on these teams
All Nemiga predictions and results
All Astralis predictions and results
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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.