Astralis vs fnatic — match prediction & analysis
Astralis and fnatic have shared a server 3 times in the period we track, which makes this one of the rarer matchups where the head-to-head actually means something. We weighed it against form, ranking and the map pool.
Astralis come in ranked #11 in the world, fnatic #47.
Astralis
✅ Cache strength: 82% winrate over 11 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (83% pick rate)
✅ Head-to-head edge: 67% versus fnatic historically gives veto and psychological advantage
❌ Only 0% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (65% bans) limits their map bargaining
fnatic
✅ Anubis strength: 90% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (57% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 22 wins in last 30 (67%) shows momentum
❌ Only 30% winrate on Mirage over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
❌ Weak head-to-head (33% versus Astralis) undermines matchup confidence
Recent form
Head to head
Astralis and fnatic have met 3 times in the period we track — Astralis 2, fnatic 1.
The map pool
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
The maps
Our picks
Line-ups
Astralis
phzy1.09
HooXi0.93
jabbi1.08
Staehr1.18
ryu1.10
fnatic
fEAR0.94
jambo1.15
jackasmo1.17
cairne1.17
mazay1.10
More on these teams
All Astralis predictions and results
All fnatic predictions and results
Every prediction and every per-map call, live on the site and in our Discord — new members get 30 days of premium, free with Discord.
Start the free trial Live stats & player cards
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.