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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

Astralis vs MIBR — match prediction & analysis

16 October at 16:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Barely anything separates these two in the ranking, and that is usually where a series is decided in the veto rather than on aim. We looked at which maps each side can actually steer to.

Astralis come in ranked #15 in the world, MIBR #12.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Astralis

✅ Cache strength: 85% winrate over 13 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (82% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 17 wins in last 26 (72%) shows momentum

❌ Only 14% winrate on Dust2 over 7 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (70% bans) limits their map bargaining

MIBR

✅ Inferno strength: 77% winrate over 13 maps is a strong tactical pick

❌ Practically never plays Dust2 (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (0% versus Astralis) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

AstralisWWWWW5 of 5 won
MIBRWWLLW3 of 5 won

Head to head

Astralis and MIBR have met 3 times in the period we track — Astralis 3, MIBR 0.

12 Aug 2026Esports World Cup 2026 · Inferno — Astralis13 - 6
4 Apr 2026PGL Bucharest 2026 · Overpass — Astralis13 - 5
4 Apr 2026PGL Bucharest 2026 · Mirage — Astralis13 - 10

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

AstralisMIBR
85%13 maps Cache 62%8 maps
14%7 maps Dust2 -0 maps
57%7 maps Mirage 56%9 maps
33%9 maps Inferno 77%13 maps
46%13 maps Nuke 50%12 maps
74%19 maps Ancient 56%9 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Astralis
cmtry cmtry0.95
phzy phzy1.10
★ Staehr Staehr1.21
ryu ryu1.15
siuhy siuhy0.91
MIBR
tomaszin tomaszin1.07
★ insani insani1.22
nqz nqz1.08
venomzera venomzera1.10
LNZ LNZ0.97

More on these teams

All Astralis predictions and results
All MIBR predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.