On paper this is lopsided: PARIVISION sit 21 places above fnatic in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
fnatic come in ranked #34 in the world, PARIVISION #13.
✅ Cache strength: 83% winrate over 18 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (48% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 23 wins in last 34 (66%) shows momentum
❌ Only 30% winrate on Dust2 over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
✅ Ancient strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (64% pick rate)
❌ Only 17% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
fEAR0.93
jambo1.15
jackasmo1.15
cairne1.11
mazay1.10
PARIVISION
zweih0.94
Jame1.05
xiELO1.07
FL1T0.96
HObbit0.96
All fnatic predictions and results
All PARIVISION predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.