Ranking, form, head-to-head, map pool. Those four decide most CS2 series, and they are what we ran Vitality vs Spirit through.
✅ Nuke strength: 80% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (60% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 6 wins in last 10 (72%) shows momentum
❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Ancient (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
✅ Anubis strength: 86% winrate over 7 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (71% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 14 wins in last 17 (77%) shows momentum
❌ Practically never plays Inferno (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
❌ Weak head-to-head (26% versus Vitality) undermines matchup confidence
Vitality and Spirit have met 23 times in the period we track — Vitality 17, Spirit 6.
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Anubis — Spirit's pick
Nuke — Vitality's pick
Mirage — the decider
All Vitality predictions and results
All Spirit predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.