Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

Vitality vs MOUZ — match prediction & analysis

11 October at 17:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Barely anything separates these two in the ranking, and that is usually where a series is decided in the veto rather than on aim. We looked at which maps each side can actually steer to.

Vitality come in ranked #2 in the world, MOUZ #3.

Our call: Vitality to win — 64% (a medium-risk pick)

Vitality

✅ Cache strength: 86% winrate over 7 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (58% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 16 wins in last 22 (79%) shows momentum

❌ Only 40% winrate on Anubis over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Ancient (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

MOUZ

✅ Inferno strength: 100% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Mirage (67% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 18 wins in last 23 (78%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Ancient over 9 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Anubis (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (30% versus Vitality) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

VitalityWWWWW5 of 5 won

MOUZWWWWW5 of 5 won

Head to head

Vitality and MOUZ have met 40 times in the period we track — Vitality 28, MOUZ 12.

5 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Mirage — MOUZ7 - 13

5 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Dust2 — MOUZ11 - 13

13 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Inferno — Vitality13 - 4

13 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Dust2 — MOUZ7 - 13

13 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Mirage — Vitality13 - 9

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

VitalityMOUZ

86%7 maps Cache 50%6 maps

85%13 maps Dust2 67%12 maps

70%10 maps Mirage 86%14 maps

60%5 maps Inferno 100%6 maps

50%8 maps Nuke 73%11 maps

-0 maps Ancient 33%9 maps

40%10 maps Anubis -0 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

🎯 Series — Vitality to win the series

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Vitality

mezii1.05

apEX0.92

ropz1.12

★

ZywOo1.36

flameZ1.14

MOUZ

xelex1.08

★

Spinx1.16

xertioN1.10

torzsi1.15

PR1.01

More on these teams

All Vitality predictions and results
All MOUZ predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.