Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

Vitality vs Falcons — match prediction & analysis

5 October at 18:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Barely anything separates these two in the ranking, and that is usually where a series is decided in the veto rather than on aim. We looked at which maps each side can actually steer to.

Vitality come in ranked #2 in the world, Falcons #5.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Vitality

✅ Cache strength: 83% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (50% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 13 wins in last 19 (74%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Ancient (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Falcons

✅ Dust2 strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (60% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 8 wins in last 12 (72%) shows momentum

❌ Only 20% winrate on Ancient over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Cache (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Recent form

VitalityWWWWL4 of 5 won

FalconsWWLWL3 of 5 won

Head to head

Vitality and Falcons have met 32 times in the period we track — Vitality 17, Falcons 15.

20 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Dust2 — Falcons11 - 13

20 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Inferno — Vitality13 - 11

20 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Anubis — Falcons11 - 13

15 Apr 2026IEM Rio 2026 · Nuke — Falcons14 - 16

15 Apr 2026IEM Rio 2026 · Dust2 — Vitality13 - 6

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

VitalityFalcons

83%6 maps Cache -0 maps

82%11 maps Dust2 78%9 maps

62%8 maps Mirage 75%4 maps

50%4 maps Inferno 75%4 maps

50%8 maps Nuke 67%3 maps

-0 maps Ancient 20%5 maps

50%8 maps Anubis -2 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Vitality

mezii1.05

apEX0.93

ropz1.09

★

ZywOo1.36

flameZ1.12

Falcons

karrigan0.82

NiKo1.11

★

m0NESY1.40

TeSeS1.07

kyousuke1.16

More on these teams

All Vitality predictions and results
All Falcons predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.