Match preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026

Spirit vs Natus Vincere — match prediction & analysis

28 October at 18:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Spirit and Natus Vincere have shared a server 14 times in the period we track, which makes this one of the rarer matchups where the head-to-head actually means something. We weighed it against form, ranking and the map pool.

Spirit come in ranked #1 in the world, Natus Vincere #11.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Spirit

✅ Anubis strength: 80% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (68% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 19 wins in last 27 (62%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Inferno (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Natus Vincere

✅ Nuke strength: 67% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

❌ Only 25% winrate on Mirage over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Dust2 ban usage (57% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Weak head-to-head (24% versus Spirit) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

SpiritLWWLL2 of 5 won

Natus VincereLLWWL2 of 5 won

Head to head

Spirit and Natus Vincere have met 33 times in the period we track — Spirit 25, Natus Vincere 8.

11 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Anubis — Spirit13 - 8

11 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 · Dust2 — Spirit13 - 1

1 Feb 2026IEM Kraków 2026 · Dust2 — Spirit13 - 3

1 Feb 2026IEM Kraków 2026 · Mirage — Spirit16 - 14

2 Aug 2025IEM Cologne 2025 · Ancient — Spirit13 - 6

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

SpiritNatus Vincere

50%8 maps Cache 75%4 maps

67%15 maps Dust2 50%4 maps

53%15 maps Mirage 25%8 maps

-0 maps Inferno 40%10 maps

67%9 maps Nuke 67%6 maps

73%11 maps Ancient 25%4 maps

80%10 maps Anubis 67%3 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

🔒 1 pick for this match — unlocked for premium members on csedge.io (today's featured matches are free for everyone).

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Spirit

sh1ro1.11

magixx0.97

★

donk1.34

tN1R1.03

zont1x1.00

Natus Vincere

Aleksib0.92

iM0.99

b1t1.06

★

w0nderful1.16

makazze1.02

More on these teams

All Spirit predictions and results
All Natus Vincere predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.