Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

Spirit vs MOUZ — match prediction & analysis

5 October at 16:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Spirit and MOUZ have shared a server 14 times in the period we track, which makes this one of the rarer matchups where the head-to-head actually means something. We weighed it against form, ranking and the map pool.

Spirit come in ranked #1 in the world, MOUZ #4.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Spirit

✅ Anubis strength: 100% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (75% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 17 wins in last 19 (93%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Inferno (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

MOUZ

✅ Inferno strength: 100% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Mirage (62% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 15 wins in last 20 (72%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Ancient over 9 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Anubis (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (35% versus Spirit) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

SpiritWWWWW5 of 5 won

MOUZWWLWL3 of 5 won

Head to head

Spirit and MOUZ have met 34 times in the period we track — Spirit 22, MOUZ 12.

6 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Nuke — Spirit13 - 6

6 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Ancient — Spirit13 - 3

6 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Mirage — MOUZ11 - 13

6 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Dust2 — Spirit13 - 8

2 Aug 2026BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals · Nuke — MOUZ10 - 13

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

SpiritMOUZ

57%7 maps Cache 50%6 maps

77%13 maps Dust2 60%10 maps

50%8 maps Mirage 92%12 maps

-0 maps Inferno 100%5 maps

67%6 maps Nuke 67%9 maps

90%10 maps Ancient 33%9 maps

100%6 maps Anubis -0 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

🔒 1 pick for this match — unlocked for premium members on csedge.io (today's featured matches are free for everyone).

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Spirit

magixx0.96

tN1R1.08

sh1ro1.15

★

donk1.45

zont1x1.01

MOUZ

xelex1.06

Spinx1.14

xertioN1.11

★

torzsi1.15

PR1.00

More on these teams

All Spirit predictions and results
All MOUZ predictions and results

Want every pick, every day?
Every prediction and every per-map call, live on the site and in our Discord — new members get 30 days of premium, free with Discord.
Start the free trial Live stats & player cards

Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.