Match preview · BLAST Open Porto 2026

Spirit vs MOUZ — match prediction & analysis

6 September at 16:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Ranking, form, head-to-head, map pool. Those four decide most CS2 series, and they are what we ran Spirit vs MOUZ through.

Our call: Spirit to win — 85% (a medium-risk pick)

How it ended

Spirit won 3–1. ✅ Our call was right — we said Spirit at 85%.

Dust2 — 13–8

Mirage — 11–13

Ancient — 13–3

Nuke — 13–6

Cache — –

Spirit

✅ Strong recent form: 21 wins in last 24 (87%) shows momentum

✅ Head-to-head edge: 63% versus MOUZ historically gives veto and psychological advantage

MOUZ

✅ Strong recent form: 13 wins in last 18 (79%) shows momentum

❌ Weak head-to-head (37% versus Spirit) undermines matchup confidence

Head to head

Spirit and MOUZ have met 30 times in the period we track — Spirit 19, MOUZ 11.

The maps

Dust2 — Spirit's pick

Mirage — MOUZ's pick

Ancient — Spirit's pick

Nuke — MOUZ's pick

Cache — the decider

Our picks

🎯 Spirit to win Dust2

🎯 Spirit to win Ancient

More on these teams

All Spirit predictions and results
All MOUZ predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.