SINNERS vs Lilmix — match prediction & analysis
On paper this is lopsided: SINNERS sit 196 places above Lilmix in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
SINNERS come in ranked #44 in the world, Lilmix #240.
SINNERS
✅ Dust2 strength: 65% winrate over 20 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (62% pick rate)
❌ Only 36% winrate on Inferno over 11 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (89% bans) limits their map bargaining
Lilmix
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (100% pick rate)
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
❌ Form slump: 7 losses in last 7 points to recent inconsistency
Recent form
The map pool
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
The maps
Our picks
Line-ups
SINNERS
SHOCK1.04
MoDo1.07
kisserek1.06
beastik0.96
stressarN1.13
Lilmix
p1ke0.80
macke0.91
chucker0.91
Wonder0.87
Tqezo0.71
More on these teams
All SINNERS predictions and results
All Lilmix predictions and results
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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.