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Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere — match prediction & analysis

7 October at 16:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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PARIVISION and Natus Vincere have shared a server 6 times in the period we track, which makes this one of the rarer matchups where the head-to-head actually means something. We weighed it against form, ranking and the map pool.

PARIVISION come in ranked #20 in the world, Natus Vincere #10.

Our call: Natus Vincere to win — 70% (a medium-risk pick)

PARIVISION

✅ Ancient strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (50% pick rate)

❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (33% versus Natus Vincere) undermines matchup confidence

Natus Vincere

✅ Head-to-head edge: 67% versus PARIVISION historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Only 29% winrate on Mirage over 7 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Dust2 ban usage (73% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Form slump: 7 losses in last 12 points to recent inconsistency

Recent form

PARIVISIONWLLWL2 of 5 won
Natus VincereLWLWL2 of 5 won

Head to head

PARIVISION and Natus Vincere have met 6 times in the period we track — PARIVISION 2, Natus Vincere 4.

28 Mar 2026BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 · Mirage — Natus Vincere7 - 13
28 Mar 2026BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 · Inferno — PARIVISION13 - 8
28 Mar 2026BLAST Open Rotterdam 2026 · Dust2 — Natus Vincere11 - 13
31 Jan 2026IEM Kraków 2026 · Ancient — Natus Vincere5 - 13
31 Jan 2026IEM Kraków 2026 · Anubis — PARIVISION19 - 16

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

PARIVISIONNatus Vincere
0%3 maps Cache 100%3 maps
33%6 maps Dust2 -0 maps
33%3 maps Mirage 29%7 maps
38%8 maps Inferno 38%8 maps
-0 maps Nuke 75%4 maps
78%9 maps Ancient 0%3 maps
33%3 maps Anubis 67%3 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

🎯 Series — Natus Vincere to win 2-0

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

PARIVISION
zweih zweih0.97
★ Jame Jame1.05
xiELO xiELO1.01
FL1T FL1T1.04
HObbit HObbit0.87
Natus Vincere
iM iM0.99
makazze makazze1.07
b1t b1t1.08
★ w0nderful w0nderful1.11
Aleksib Aleksib0.89

More on these teams

All PARIVISION predictions and results
All Natus Vincere predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.