On paper this is lopsided: magic sit 20 places above Ninjas in Pyjamas in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Ninjas in Pyjamas come in ranked #38 in the world, magic #18.
✅ Nuke strength: 76% winrate over 17 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Nuke (88% pick rate)
❌ Only 20% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Dust2 ban usage (59% bans) limits their map bargaining
❌ Weak head-to-head (29% versus magic) undermines matchup confidence
✅ Cache strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (81% pick rate)
✅ Head-to-head edge: 71% versus Ninjas in Pyjamas historically gives veto and psychological advantage
❌ Only 40% winrate on Dust2 over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (96% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Ninjas in Pyjamas and magic have met 7 times in the period we track — Ninjas in Pyjamas 2, magic 5.
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Ninjas in Pyjamas
sjuush1.02
stavn1.08
xKacpersky1.07
adamb1.09
Krimbo1.03
magic
MaSvAl1.08
sFade80.93
AW1.03
tenzy1.10
mo0N1.08
All Ninjas in Pyjamas predictions and results
All magic predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.