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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs HEROIC — match prediction & analysis

17 October at 10:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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HEROIC arrive in far better shape than Ninjas in Pyjamas — the recent results are not close. Form is the loudest signal in CS2 and the easiest to over-read, so it is one input here, not the answer.

Ninjas in Pyjamas come in ranked #26 in the world, HEROIC #30.

Our call: HEROIC to win — 52% (a high-risk pick)

Ninjas in Pyjamas

✅ Nuke strength: 79% winrate over 19 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Nuke (65% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 25 wins in last 43 (62%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 9 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (57% bans) limits their map bargaining

HEROIC

✅ Nuke strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (50% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 26 wins in last 33 (85%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (89% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Weak head-to-head (38% versus Ninjas in Pyjamas) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

Ninjas in PyjamasWLLWW3 of 5 won
HEROICWWWWW5 of 5 won

Head to head

Ninjas in Pyjamas and HEROIC have met 8 times in the period we track — Ninjas in Pyjamas 5, HEROIC 3.

25 Jul 2026StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Ancient — Ninjas in Pyjamas13 - 9
25 Jul 2026StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Nuke — Ninjas in Pyjamas13 - 8
25 Jul 2026StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Mirage — HEROIC12 - 16
17 Jul 2026Stake Ranked Episode 3 · Mirage — HEROIC9 - 13
17 Jul 2026Stake Ranked Episode 3 · Nuke — Ninjas in Pyjamas13 - 9

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Ninjas in PyjamasHEROIC
44%16 maps Cache 69%13 maps
33%9 maps Dust2 65%17 maps
44%16 maps Mirage 75%12 maps
64%11 maps Inferno 71%14 maps
79%19 maps Nuke 78%9 maps
62%16 maps Ancient 67%15 maps
67%3 maps Anubis -0 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Ninjas in Pyjamas
sjuush sjuush1.01
★ stavn stavn1.11
xKacpersky xKacpersky1.09
adamb adamb1.10
Krimbo Krimbo1.07
HEROIC
Brollan Brollan1.17
MartinezSa MartinezSa1.14
★ nilo nilo1.18
Chr1zN Chr1zN1.11
susp susp1.06

More on these teams

All Ninjas in Pyjamas predictions and results
All HEROIC predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.