On paper this is lopsided: Nemesis sit 16 places above Nuclear TigeRES in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Nemesis come in ranked #43 in the world, Nuclear TigeRES #59.
✅ Cache strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (46% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 21 wins in last 33 (71%) shows momentum
❌ Practically never plays Anubis (97% banned), reducing veto flexibility
❌ Weak head-to-head (22% versus Nuclear TigeRES) undermines matchup confidence
✅ Inferno strength: 86% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (62% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 23 wins in last 39 (61%) shows momentum
❌ Only 0% winrate on Mirage over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Mirage ban usage (65% bans) limits their map bargaining
Nemesis and Nuclear TigeRES have met 9 times in the period we track — Nemesis 2, Nuclear TigeRES 7.
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Nemesis
mag1k3Y1.09
Sdaim1.13
tex1y1.13
SELLTER0.93
r3salt1.10
Nuclear TigeRES
senka0.95
flouzer1.09
ayuki1.13
Djon81.11
All Nemesis predictions and results
All Nuclear TigeRES predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.