On paper this is lopsided: Eternal Fire sit 16 places above Nemesis in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Nemesis come in ranked #46 in the world, Eternal Fire #30.
✅ Inferno strength: 88% winrate over 16 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (47% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 28 wins in last 42 (66%) shows momentum
❌ Only 29% winrate on Mirage over 14 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Anubis (98% banned), reducing veto flexibility
✅ Dust2 strength: 75% winrate over 16 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Strong recent form: 29 wins in last 45 (66%) shows momentum
❌ Only 39% winrate on Mirage over 18 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (98% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Nemesis
notineki1.00
r3salt1.11
Sdaim1.13
mag1k3Y1.10
heis9990.58
Eternal Fire
soulfly1.15
regali1.05
Kvem1.12
jottAAA1.16
MisteM0.94
All Nemesis predictions and results
All Eternal Fire predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.