Match preview · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026

Natus Vincere vs Aurora — match prediction & analysis

17 September at 17:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Ranking, form, head-to-head, map pool. Those four decide most CS2 series, and they are what we ran Natus Vincere vs Aurora through.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Natus Vincere

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (75% pick rate)

✅ Head-to-head edge: 74% versus Aurora historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Heavy Dust2 ban usage (75% bans) limits their map bargaining

Aurora

✅ Nuke strength: 86% winrate over 7 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (70% pick rate)

❌ Only 40% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Ancient ban usage (87% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Weak head-to-head (26% versus Natus Vincere) undermines matchup confidence

Head to head

Natus Vincere and Aurora have met 35 times in the period we track — Natus Vincere 26, Aurora 9.

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Natus VincereAurora

-2 maps Nuke 86%7 maps

67%3 maps Mirage 57%7 maps

-0 maps Cache 50%4 maps

-0 maps Dust2 40%5 maps

40%5 maps Inferno 60%5 maps

-1 maps Anubis 71%7 maps

The maps

Nuke — Aurora's pick

Mirage — Natus Vincere's pick

Cache — the decider

Our picks

🔒 2 picks for this match — unlocked for premium members on csedge.io (today's featured match is free for everyone).

More on these teams

All Natus Vincere predictions and results
All Aurora predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.