Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

MOUZ vs Spirit — match prediction & analysis

10 October at 19:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Barely anything separates these two in the ranking, and that is usually where a series is decided in the veto rather than on aim. We looked at which maps each side can actually steer to.

MOUZ come in ranked #3 in the world, Spirit #1.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

MOUZ

✅ Inferno strength: 100% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Mirage (65% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 17 wins in last 22 (77%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Ancient over 9 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Anubis (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (39% versus Spirit) undermines matchup confidence

Spirit

✅ Ancient strength: 90% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (70% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 19 wins in last 23 (79%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Inferno (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Recent form

MOUZWWWWL4 of 5 won

SpiritWWLLW3 of 5 won

Head to head

MOUZ and Spirit have met 36 times in the period we track — MOUZ 14, Spirit 22.

5 Oct 2026ESL Pro League Season 24 · Mirage — MOUZ13 - 11

5 Oct 2026ESL Pro League Season 24 · Dust2 — MOUZ13 - 5

6 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Nuke — Spirit6 - 13

6 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Ancient — Spirit3 - 13

6 Sept 2026BLAST Open Porto 2026 · Mirage — MOUZ13 - 11

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

MOUZSpirit

50%6 maps Cache 56%9 maps

64%11 maps Dust2 73%15 maps

92%13 maps Mirage 50%10 maps

100%6 maps Inferno -0 maps

70%10 maps Nuke 67%6 maps

33%9 maps Ancient 90%10 maps

-0 maps Anubis 88%8 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

🔒 1 pick for this match — unlocked for premium members on csedge.io (today's featured matches are free for everyone).

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

MOUZ

xelex1.08

★

Spinx1.16

xertioN1.10

torzsi1.15

PR1.01

Spirit

magixx0.97

tN1R1.05

sh1ro1.14

★

donk1.40

zont1x1.00

More on these teams

All MOUZ predictions and results
All Spirit predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.