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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

MIBR vs 100 Thieves — match prediction & analysis

17 October at 13:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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On paper this is lopsided: MIBR sit 25 places above 100 Thieves in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.

MIBR come in ranked #12 in the world, 100 Thieves #37.

Our call: MIBR to win — 68% (a medium-risk pick)

MIBR

✅ Inferno strength: 71% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Strong recent form: 15 wins in last 24 (62%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Dust2 (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

100 Thieves

✅ Dust2 strength: 87% winrate over 15 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (67% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 21 wins in last 32 (72%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (73% bans) limits their map bargaining

Recent form

MIBRWWWLL3 of 5 won
100 ThievesWWWLW4 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

MIBR100 Thieves
67%9 maps Cache 67%3 maps
-0 maps Dust2 87%15 maps
60%10 maps Mirage 70%10 maps
71%14 maps Inferno 56%9 maps
50%12 maps Nuke 55%11 maps
56%9 maps Ancient 55%11 maps
-2 maps Anubis 50%10 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

MIBR
tomaszin tomaszin1.06
★ insani insani1.25
nqz nqz1.07
venomzera venomzera1.09
LNZ LNZ0.97
100 Thieves
sirah sirah1.05
rain rain1.13
device device1.09
Gizmy Gizmy1.00
★ poiii poiii1.15

More on these teams

All MIBR predictions and results
All 100 Thieves predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.