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Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5

magic vs Astralis — match prediction & analysis

28 October at 12:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Astralis arrive in far better shape than magic — the recent results are not close. Form is the loudest signal in CS2 and the easiest to over-read, so it is one input here, not the answer.

magic come in ranked #25 in the world, Astralis #17.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

magic

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (84% pick rate)

❌ Only 12% winrate on Mirage over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Nuke (91% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Form slump: 13 losses in last 22 points to recent inconsistency

Astralis

✅ Cache strength: 75% winrate over 12 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (79% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 14 wins in last 23 (63%) shows momentum

❌ Only 20% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (73% bans) limits their map bargaining

Recent form

magicLLWLL1 of 5 won
AstralisLLWWW3 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

magicAstralis
50%6 maps Cache 75%12 maps
56%9 maps Dust2 20%5 maps
12%8 maps Mirage 50%8 maps
50%6 maps Inferno 40%10 maps
-0 maps Nuke 50%10 maps
53%19 maps Ancient 73%15 maps
25%4 maps Anubis -2 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

magic
★ lattykk lattykk1.18
sFade8 sFade80.89
MaSvAl MaSvAl1.01
AW AW0.94
tenzy tenzy1.07
Astralis
cmtry cmtry0.95
siuhy siuhy0.86
phzy phzy1.11
★ Staehr Staehr1.20
ryu ryu1.15

More on these teams

All magic predictions and results
All Astralis predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.