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Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 4

Luminosity vs Nemiga — match prediction & analysis

3 October at 17:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Some matches you feel, some you count. For Luminosity vs Nemiga at Stake Ranked Episode 4 we did the counting: world ranking, three months of form, head-to-head and every map either team can realistically play.

Luminosity come in ranked #30 in the world, Nemiga #38.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Luminosity

✅ Mirage strength: 83% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (56% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 10 wins in last 17 (66%) shows momentum

❌ Only 29% winrate on Dust2 over 7 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (62% bans) limits their map bargaining

Nemiga

✅ Mirage strength: 82% winrate over 17 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Strong recent form: 34 wins in last 45 (80%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (70% bans) limits their map bargaining

Recent form

LuminosityWWLWW4 of 5 won
NemigaWWWWW5 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

LuminosityNemiga
33%3 maps Cache 77%13 maps
29%7 maps Dust2 58%19 maps
83%6 maps Mirage 82%17 maps
57%7 maps Inferno -1 maps
57%7 maps Nuke 71%14 maps
67%6 maps Ancient 60%25 maps
-0 maps Anubis 80%15 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Luminosity
lux lux1.01
AZUWU AZUWU1.03
Rainwaker Rainwaker1.09
★ afro afro1.15
★ yxngstxr yxngstxr1.15
Nemiga
robo robo1.03
★ KaiR0N- KaiR0N-1.20
Xant3r Xant3r1.09
khaN khaN1.12
syph0 syph01.11

More on these teams

All Luminosity predictions and results
All Nemiga predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.