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Match preview · RLG Tesla Cup 2026

Luminosity vs Envy — match prediction & analysis

28 October at 18:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Luminosity and Envy have shared a server 5 times in the period we track, which makes this one of the rarer matchups where the head-to-head actually means something. We weighed it against form, ranking and the map pool.

Luminosity come in ranked #28 in the world, Envy #26.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Luminosity

✅ Mirage strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (50% pick rate)

❌ Only 20% winrate on Cache over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (70% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Weak head-to-head (40% versus Envy) undermines matchup confidence

Envy

✅ Dust2 strength: 71% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Head-to-head edge: 60% versus Luminosity historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Only 38% winrate on Ancient over 16 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Mirage (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Form slump: 5 losses in last 6 points to recent inconsistency

Recent form

LuminosityLLLLL0 of 5 won
EnvyLLWLL1 of 5 won

Head to head

Luminosity and Envy have met 5 times in the period we track — Luminosity 2, Envy 3.

24 Sept 2026Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Nuke — 3DMAX13 - 16
24 Sept 2026Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Inferno — Luminosity13 - 8
24 Sept 2026Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Ancient — Luminosity19 - 15
24 Sept 2026Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Dust2 — 3DMAX16 - 19
24 Sept 2026Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Cache — 3DMAX11 - 13

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

LuminosityEnvy
20%5 maps Cache 45%11 maps
22%9 maps Dust2 71%14 maps
75%8 maps Mirage -0 maps
57%7 maps Inferno 55%11 maps
38%8 maps Nuke 40%10 maps
62%8 maps Ancient 38%16 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Luminosity
lux lux0.96
AZUWU AZUWU0.96
Rainwaker Rainwaker1.07
★ afro afro1.13
yxngstxr yxngstxr1.09
Envy
Graviti Graviti0.96
Kursy Kursy1.01
★ Maka Maka1.15
misutaaa misutaaa1.00
Lucky Lucky1.04

More on these teams

All Luminosity predictions and results
All Envy predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.