On paper this is lopsided: FURIA sit 20 places above Liquid in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Liquid come in ranked #23 in the world, FURIA #3.
✅ Inferno strength: 90% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (56% pick rate)
❌ Only 30% winrate on Dust2 over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Ancient (90% banned), reducing veto flexibility
✅ Inferno strength: 80% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Strong recent form: 20 wins in last 33 (61%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (74% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
NAF1.14
EliGE1.16
malbsMd1.08
Jorko1.05
JT0.96
FalleN0.90
yuurih0.97
KSCERATO1.20
YEKINDAR1.07
molodoy1.13
All Liquid predictions and results
All FURIA predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.