Liquid vs Aurora — match prediction & analysis
On paper this is lopsided: Aurora sit 18 places above Liquid in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Liquid come in ranked #23 in the world, Aurora #5.
Liquid
✅ Inferno strength: 89% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (56% pick rate)
❌ Only 30% winrate on Dust2 over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Ancient (90% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Aurora
✅ Anubis strength: 73% winrate over 11 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (100% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 17 wins in last 27 (65%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Ancient ban usage (85% bans) limits their map bargaining
Recent form
The map pool
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
The maps
Our picks
Line-ups
Liquid
NAF1.14
EliGE1.17
malbsMd1.07
Jorko1.06
JT0.95
Aurora
woxic1.04
XANTARES1.00
Wicadia1.11
Jimpphat1.14
kyxsan0.95
More on these teams
All Liquid predictions and results
All Aurora predictions and results
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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.