Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat II

Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro — match prediction & analysis

22 September at 15:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Some matches you feel, some you count. For Johnny Speeds vs Virtus.pro at Stake Pulse Beat II we did the counting: world ranking, three months of form, head-to-head and every map either team can realistically play.

Our call: Virtus.pro to win — 72% (a high-risk pick)

How it ended

Johnny Speeds won 2–0. ❌ Our call was wrong — we said Virtus.pro at 72%.

TBA — –

Johnny Speeds

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (100% pick rate)

❌ Heavy Cache ban usage (83% bans) limits their map bargaining

Virtus.pro

✅ Ancient strength: 88% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (69% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 17 wins in last 24 (70%) shows momentum

❌ Only 38% winrate on Anubis over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (83% bans) limits their map bargaining

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Johnny SpeedsVirtus.pro

-1 maps Cache 62%8 maps

50%4 maps Dust2 76%17 maps

-2 maps Mirage 62%13 maps

-2 maps Nuke 44%9 maps

-1 maps Ancient 88%8 maps

-1 maps Anubis 38%8 maps

The maps

Cache — Johnny Speeds's pick

Dust2 — Virtus.pro's pick

Mirage — the decider

Our picks

🎯 Series — Virtus.pro to win 2-0

🎯 Virtus.pro to win Dust2

🎯 Virtus.pro to win Mirage

More on these teams

All Johnny Speeds predictions and results
All Virtus.pro predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.