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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

Inner Circle vs Sangal — match prediction & analysis

12 October at 18:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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On paper this is lopsided: Inner Circle sit 20 places above Sangal in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.

Inner Circle come in ranked #28 in the world, Sangal #48.

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Inner Circle

✅ Cache strength: 80% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (71% pick rate)

✅ Head-to-head edge: 100% versus Sangal historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (85% bans) limits their map bargaining

Sangal

✅ Nuke strength: 86% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Nuke (64% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 23 wins in last 35 (67%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Inferno (92% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (0% versus Inner Circle) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

Inner CircleLWLLW2 of 5 won
SangalWLLWW3 of 5 won

Head to head

Inner Circle and Sangal have met 2 times in the period we track — Inner Circle 2, Sangal 0.

12 Oct 2026Stake Pulse Beat III · Dust2 — Inner Circle13 - 6
12 Oct 2026Stake Pulse Beat III · Anubis — Inner Circle13 - 9

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Inner CircleSangal
33%6 maps Dust2 45%11 maps
80%5 maps Cache 71%14 maps
57%7 maps Mirage 55%11 maps
40%5 maps Nuke 86%14 maps
57%7 maps Ancient 43%7 maps
33%6 maps Anubis 64%11 maps

The maps

Dust2 — Inner Circle's pick

Cache — Sangal's pick

Mirage — the decider

Our picks

🔒 1 pick for this match — unlocked for premium members on csedge.io (today's featured matches are free for everyone).

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Inner Circle
onic onic0.96
Dawy Dawy1.07
zeRRoFIX zeRRoFIX1.02
★ headtr1ck headtr1ck1.13
cptkurtka023 cptkurtka0231.09
Sangal
R4DYX R4DYX1.06
Joey Joey1.10
bnox bnox1.11
★ adamS adamS1.16
puuha puuha1.01

More on these teams

All Inner Circle predictions and results
All Sangal predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.