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Match preview · Stake Pulse Beat III

Inner Circle vs Sangal — match prediction & analysis

12 October at 12:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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On paper this is lopsided: Inner Circle sit 20 places above Sangal in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.

Inner Circle come in ranked #28 in the world, Sangal #48.

Our call: Inner Circle to win — 60% (a high-risk pick)

Inner Circle

✅ Cache strength: 80% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (60% pick rate)

❌ Only 20% winrate on Anubis over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (89% bans) limits their map bargaining

Sangal

✅ Nuke strength: 86% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Nuke (64% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 22 wins in last 33 (69%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Inferno (97% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Recent form

Inner CircleLLWWW3 of 5 won
SangalLWWWL3 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Inner CircleSangal
80%5 maps Cache 71%14 maps
33%3 maps Dust2 44%9 maps
57%7 maps Mirage 50%10 maps
50%4 maps Nuke 86%14 maps
57%7 maps Ancient 43%7 maps
20%5 maps Anubis 67%9 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Inner Circle
onic onic0.97
Dawy Dawy1.08
zeRRoFIX zeRRoFIX1.00
headtr1ck headtr1ck1.12
★ cptkurtka023 cptkurtka0231.13
Sangal
R4DYX R4DYX1.07
Joey Joey1.10
bnox bnox1.11
★ adamS adamS1.15
puuha puuha1.01

More on these teams

All Inner Circle predictions and results
All Sangal predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.