Match preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026

Inner Circle vs Liquid — match prediction & analysis

18 September at 13:20 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

Every call we publish goes up before the match and stays up afterwards, right or wrong. This is the reasoning behind Inner Circle vs Liquid at Logitech G Play Connect 2026.

Our call: Liquid to win — 53% (a high-risk pick)

How it ended

Inner Circle won 13–6. ❌ Our call was wrong — we said Liquid at 53%.

TBA — –

Inner Circle

✅ Dust2 strength: 82% winrate over 11 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (83% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 16 wins in last 23 (61%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (85% bans) limits their map bargaining

Liquid

✅ Anubis strength: 70% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (69% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 11 wins in last 15 (75%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Ancient ban usage (87% bans) limits their map bargaining

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Inner CircleLiquid

100%3 maps Cache 67%6 maps

82%11 maps Dust2 33%6 maps

45%11 maps Mirage 100%3 maps

-0 maps Inferno 100%3 maps

62%8 maps Nuke 67%9 maps

64%11 maps Ancient -1 maps

50%6 maps Anubis 70%10 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

More on these teams

All Inner Circle predictions and results
All Liquid predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.