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Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier

Iberian Soul vs Phantom — match prediction & analysis

24 September at 19:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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On paper this is lopsided: Iberian Soul sit 18 places above Phantom in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.

Iberian Soul come in ranked #55 in the world, Phantom #73.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Iberian Soul

✅ Inferno strength: 60% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (71% pick rate)

❌ Only 22% winrate on Cache over 9 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Dust2 (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Phantom

✅ Inferno strength: 67% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (67% pick rate)

❌ Only 33% winrate on Anubis over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

Recent form

Iberian SoulLWWLW3 of 5 won
PhantomLLWWL2 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

Iberian SoulPhantom
22%9 maps Cache -2 maps
-0 maps Dust2 57%7 maps
33%6 maps Mirage 43%7 maps
60%10 maps Inferno 67%9 maps
57%7 maps Nuke 50%10 maps
42%12 maps Ancient 53%17 maps
-1 maps Anubis 33%6 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Iberian Soul
★ Ag1l Ag1l-
dav1g dav1g0.98
alex alex1.01
mopoz mopoz1.10
sausol sausol1.02
Phantom
Kunai Kunai1.09
TMB TMB0.94
KEi KEi1.08
Kylar Kylar1.07
★ nicoodoz nicoodoz1.15

More on these teams

All Iberian Soul predictions and results
All Phantom predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.