On paper this is lopsided: HOTU sit 83 places above Acend in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
HOTU come in ranked #42 in the world, Acend #125.
✅ Mirage strength: 69% winrate over 13 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (51% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 31 wins in last 44 (70%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (85% bans) limits their map bargaining
✅ Inferno strength: 67% winrate over 12 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (67% pick rate)
❌ Only 17% winrate on Cache over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (95% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
HOTU
dwushka1.13
frontales1.14
mizu1.20
n0rb3r71.08
kade01.03
Acend
h4rn1.13
REDSTAR1.04
Skrimo1.00
SHiPZ1.00
SPELLAN0.94
All HOTU predictions and results
All Acend predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.