On paper this is lopsided: HEROIC sit 51 places above Sangal in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
HEROIC come in ranked #34 in the world, Sangal #85.
✅ Inferno strength: 77% winrate over 13 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (55% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 22 wins in last 29 (79%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (87% bans) limits their map bargaining
✅ Cache strength: 80% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Nuke (57% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 5 wins in last 9 (61%) shows momentum
❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (89% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
HEROIC
Brollan1.12
MartinezSa1.14
nilo1.16
Chr1zN1.10
susp1.05
Sangal
R4DYX1.08
Joey1.07
bnox1.05
adamS1.10
puuha0.96
All HEROIC predictions and results
All Sangal predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.