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Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

FURIA vs MOUZ — match prediction & analysis

4 October at 16:25 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Some matches you feel, some you count. For FURIA vs MOUZ at ESL Pro League Season 24 we did the counting: world ranking, three months of form, head-to-head and every map either team can realistically play.

Our call: FURIA to win — 51% (a high-risk pick)

How it ended

MOUZ won 0–2. ❌ Our call was wrong — we said FURIA at 51%.

TBA — –

TBA — –

TBA — –

FURIA

✅ Nuke strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Head-to-head edge: 58% versus MOUZ historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (70% bans) limits their map bargaining

MOUZ

✅ Inferno strength: 100% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Mirage (60% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 14 wins in last 19 (69%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Ancient over 9 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Anubis (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (42% versus FURIA) undermines matchup confidence

Head to head

FURIA and MOUZ have met 19 times in the period we track — FURIA 11, MOUZ 8.

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

FURIAMOUZ
50%10 maps Cache 40%5 maps
44%9 maps Dust2 60%10 maps
60%10 maps Mirage 91%11 maps
67%3 maps Inferno 100%5 maps
75%8 maps Nuke 67%9 maps
50%8 maps Ancient 33%9 maps

The maps

Cache — MOUZ's pick

Mirage — FURIA's pick

Dust2 — the decider

Our picks

🎯 Series — FURIA to win the series

🎯 FURIA to win Cache

More on these teams

All FURIA predictions and results
All MOUZ predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.