On paper this is lopsided: FOKUS sit 44 places above SPARTA in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
FOKUS come in ranked #45 in the world, SPARTA #89.
✅ Cache strength: 88% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick
❌ Only 40% winrate on Nuke over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (58% bans) limits their map bargaining
✅ Dust2 strength: 71% winrate over 41 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (83% pick rate)
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (79% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
FOKUS
Banjo1.01
Matheos1.05
ztr0.91
jocab1.08
podi1.02
SPARTA
NickelBack0.92
TRAVIS1.10
glowiing1.06
interz0.93
El1an1.09
All FOKUS predictions and results
All SPARTA predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.