On paper this is lopsided: FOKUS sit 299 places above MTX in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
FOKUS come in ranked #48 in the world, MTX #347.
✅ Cache strength: 90% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick
❌ Only 38% winrate on Mirage over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (57% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
FOKUS
Banjo1.00
Matheos1.08
ztr0.92
jocab1.11
podi1.04
MTX
yab0ku-
All FOKUS predictions and results
All MTX predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.