Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier

fnatic vs Nemesis — match prediction & analysis

27 September at 13:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Barely anything separates these two in the ranking, and that is usually where a series is decided in the veto rather than on aim. We looked at which maps each side can actually steer to.

fnatic come in ranked #42 in the world, Nemesis #44.

fnatic

✅ Anubis strength: 90% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (53% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 20 wins in last 26 (72%) shows momentum

❌ Only 25% winrate on Mirage over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (0% versus Nemesis) undermines matchup confidence

Nemesis

✅ Cache strength: 71% winrate over 7 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Strong recent form: 18 wins in last 30 (63%) shows momentum

✅ Head-to-head edge: 100% versus fnatic historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Practically never plays Anubis (96% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Recent form

Head to head

fnatic and Nemesis have met 2 times in the period we track — fnatic 0, Nemesis 2.

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

fnatic

fEAR0.95

jambo1.15

★ jackasmo1.18

cairne1.16

mazay1.10

Nemesis

mag1k3Y1.07

★ Sdaim1.13

tex1y1.11

SELLTER0.92

r3salt1.06

More on these teams

All fnatic predictions and results
All Nemesis predictions and results

Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.