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Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier

fnatic vs Iberian Soul — match prediction & analysis

26 September at 11:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Some matches you feel, some you count. For fnatic vs Iberian Soul at Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier we did the counting: world ranking, three months of form, head-to-head and every map either team can realistically play.

fnatic come in ranked #42 in the world, Iberian Soul #55.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

fnatic

✅ Anubis strength: 90% winrate over 10 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (50% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 19 wins in last 25 (70%) shows momentum

❌ Only 25% winrate on Mirage over 8 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Nuke (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Iberian Soul

✅ Nuke strength: 67% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (73% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 8 wins in last 14 (62%) shows momentum

❌ Only 22% winrate on Cache over 9 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Practically never plays Dust2 (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility

Recent form

fnaticLWWWL3 of 5 won
Iberian SoulWWWLW4 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

fnaticIberian Soul
85%13 maps Cache 22%9 maps
50%8 maps Dust2 -0 maps
25%8 maps Mirage 43%7 maps
67%6 maps Inferno 64%11 maps
-0 maps Nuke 67%9 maps
79%14 maps Ancient 46%13 maps
90%10 maps Anubis -2 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

fnatic
fEAR fEAR0.96
jambo jambo1.16
★ jackasmo jackasmo1.19
cairne cairne1.16
mazay mazay1.10
Iberian Soul
★ Ag1l Ag1l1.13
dav1g dav1g0.99
alex alex1.02
mopoz mopoz1.12
sausol sausol1.05

More on these teams

All fnatic predictions and results
All Iberian Soul predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.