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Match preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2

FlyQuest vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER — match prediction & analysis

27 September at 11:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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On paper this is lopsided: FlyQuest sit 28 places above THUNDER dOWNUNDER in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.

FlyQuest come in ranked #93 in the world, THUNDER dOWNUNDER #121.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

FlyQuest

✅ Dust2 strength: 86% winrate over 7 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (77% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 13 wins in last 16 (78%) shows momentum

❌ Heavy Mirage ban usage (79% bans) limits their map bargaining

THUNDER dOWNUNDER

✅ Dust2 strength: 80% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Strong recent form: 8 wins in last 10 (89%) shows momentum

❌ Practically never plays Mirage (91% banned), reducing veto flexibility

❌ Weak head-to-head (0% versus FlyQuest) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

FlyQuestWWLWW4 of 5 won
THUNDER dOWNUNDERWWWWW5 of 5 won

Head to head

FlyQuest and THUNDER dOWNUNDER have met 4 times in the period we track — FlyQuest 4, THUNDER dOWNUNDER 0.

18 Jul 2026DFRAG HyperX Nationals 2026 · Nuke — FlyQuest13 - 1
18 Jul 2026DFRAG HyperX Nationals 2026 · Dust2 — FlyQuest13 - 10
4 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · Inferno — FlyQuest13 - 3
4 Jun 2026IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1 · Anubis — FlyQuest13 - 10

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

FlyQuestTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
100%4 maps Cache -0 maps
86%7 maps Dust2 80%5 maps
80%5 maps Inferno 80%5 maps
100%4 maps Nuke 60%5 maps
78%9 maps Anubis 80%5 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

FlyQuest
jks jks1.36
INS INS1.14
★ Vexite Vexite1.38
nettik nettik1.14
aliStair aliStair1.08
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
viridian viridian1.07
TjP TjP1.09
dexter dexter1.00
Gratisfaction Gratisfaction1.07
★ Liazz Liazz1.40

More on these teams

All FlyQuest predictions and results
All THUNDER dOWNUNDER predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.