On paper this is lopsided: FaZe sit 76 places above ASTRAL in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
FaZe come in ranked #17 in the world, ASTRAL #93.
✅ Nuke strength: 88% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Strong recent form: 9 wins in last 15 (61%) shows momentum
❌ Only 33% winrate on Ancient over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (86% bans) limits their map bargaining
✅ Mirage strength: 72% winrate over 18 maps is a strong tactical pick
❌ Only 42% winrate on Cache over 12 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (84% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
🎯 Series — FaZe to win 2-0
FaZe
JBOEN1.05
Twistzz1.19
jcobbb1.10
frozen1.07
Neityu0.96
ASTRAL
kAlash1.05
Tr0ublE1.13
OWNER1.12
maggent1.05
kr1vda1.01
All FaZe predictions and results
All ASTRAL predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.