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Match preview · ESL Pro League Season 24

Falcons vs Spirit — match preview

9 October at 18:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Best of 3 (LAN)

Falcons come in ranked #5 in the world, Spirit #1.

Falcons meet Spirit at ESL Pro League Season 24. The model has not priced this one yet — it waits for the map veto, because which maps get played moves the number more than anything else on this page. What follows is what we already know about both teams.

Falcons — recent form

3 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

W vs Natus Vincere — 2–1 6 October at 21:00

L vs Vitality — 1–2 5 October at 18:30

W vs Aurora — 2–0 4 October at 14:20

W vs TYLOO — 2–0 3 October at 11:00

L vs Spirit — 0–2 5 September at 16:00

Across everything we have covered: Falcons won 9 of 13, and our own call was right in 11 of 13.

Spirit — recent form

3 wins in their last 5 matches we covered.

W vs M80 — 2–0 7 October at 20:10

L vs 1win — 0–2 6 October at 14:00

L vs MOUZ — 0–2 5 October at 16:25

W vs PARIVISION — 2–1 4 October at 11:00

W vs ShindeN — 2–1 3 October at 14:05

Across everything we have covered: Spirit won 15 of 18, and our own call was right in 15 of 18.

Head to head

These two have met once in matches we covered.

L vs Spirit — 0–2 5 September at 16:00

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

FalconsSpirit
-0 maps Cache 56%9 maps
70%10 maps Dust2 73%15 maps
67%6 maps Mirage 44%9 maps
80%5 maps Inferno -0 maps
67%3 maps Nuke 67%6 maps
20%5 maps Ancient 90%10 maps
50%4 maps Anubis 86%7 maps

How they veto

The maps each side removes most often. Two teams that ban the same map hand the series to a third one neither wanted.

Falcons ban most often: Cache 100%, Inferno 30%, Mirage 20%

Spirit ban most often: Inferno 100%, Cache 26%, Nuke 21%

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Falcons
karrigan karrigan0.79
NiKo NiKo1.12
★ m0NESY m0NESY1.36
TeSeS TeSeS1.07
kyousuke kyousuke1.11
Spirit
magixx magixx0.96
tN1R tN1R1.04
sh1ro sh1ro1.15
★ donk donk1.40
zont1x zont1x1.01

Also at ESL Pro League Season 24 that day

1win vs Aurora 9 October at 10:30
Vitality vs PARIVISION 9 October at 13:00
FURIA vs MOUZ 9 October at 15:30

When the prediction goes up

Our call publishes before kickoff, never after — that is the whole point of keeping a public record. When it does, this page fills in with the probability for each team, the per-map calls once the veto is done, and afterwards the result and whether we were right.

More on these teams

All Falcons predictions and results
All Spirit predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.