Eternal Fire vs Astralis at Stake Ranked Episode 5 is the kind of match that looks obvious until you check the map pool. Here is what our model weighs before it commits to a call.
Eternal Fire come in ranked #30 in the world, Astralis #17.
✅ Dust2 strength: 76% winrate over 17 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Strong recent form: 31 wins in last 47 (69%) shows momentum
❌ Only 39% winrate on Mirage over 18 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Nuke (98% banned), reducing veto flexibility
✅ Cache strength: 71% winrate over 14 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (76% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 16 wins in last 25 (68%) shows momentum
❌ Only 40% winrate on Inferno over 10 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (75% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Eternal Fire
soulfly1.15
regali1.06
Kvem1.12
jottAAA1.16
MisteM0.94
jabbi1.07
Staehr1.22
siuhy0.90
phzy1.08
ryu1.16
All Eternal Fire predictions and results
All Astralis predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.