On paper this is lopsided: Envy sit 71 places above BASEMENT BOYS in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Envy come in ranked #22 in the world, BASEMENT BOYS #93.
✅ Dust2 strength: 77% winrate over 13 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (52% pick rate)
❌ Only 36% winrate on Nuke over 11 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Practically never plays Mirage (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
✅ Mirage strength: 72% winrate over 18 maps is a strong tactical pick
❌ Only 42% winrate on Cache over 12 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (84% bans) limits their map bargaining
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
Graviti0.94
Kursy1.01
Maka1.13
misutaaa1.03
Lucky1.04
BASEMENT BOYS
kAlash1.05
Tr0ublE1.13
OWNER1.12
maggent1.05
kr1vda1.01
All Envy predictions and results
All BASEMENT BOYS predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.