On paper this is lopsided: The MongolZ sit 17 places above BIG in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
BIG come in ranked #37 in the world, The MongolZ #20.
✅ Inferno strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Cache (62% pick rate)
✅ Head-to-head edge: 100% versus The MongolZ historically gives veto and psychological advantage
✅ Ancient strength: 80% winrate over 5 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Inferno (62% pick rate)
❌ Practically never plays Anubis (100% banned), reducing veto flexibility
❌ Weak head-to-head (0% versus BIG) undermines matchup confidence
BIG and The MongolZ have met 2 times in the period we track — BIG 2, The MongolZ 0.
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
tabseN0.99
faveN1.02
blameF1.22
gr1ks1.11
JDC1.00
The MongolZ
bLitz1.08
cobrazera1.21
Techno0.94
9101.19
nin91.06
All BIG predictions and results
All The MongolZ predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.