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Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5

Astralis vs Inner Circle — match prediction & analysis

29 October at 14:30 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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On paper this is lopsided: Astralis sit 22 places above Inner Circle in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.

Astralis come in ranked #17 in the world, Inner Circle #39.

Our call publishes before kickoff. Free on csedge.io — premium members get every call up front.

Astralis

✅ Ancient strength: 75% winrate over 16 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (75% pick rate)

✅ Strong recent form: 15 wins in last 24 (66%) shows momentum

❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (74% bans) limits their map bargaining

Inner Circle

✅ Cache strength: 67% winrate over 6 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Dust2 (67% pick rate)

❌ Only 33% winrate on Dust2 over 6 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (79% bans) limits their map bargaining

Recent form

AstralisWLLWW3 of 5 won
Inner CircleLWLLW2 of 5 won

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

AstralisInner Circle
69%13 maps Cache 67%6 maps
33%6 maps Dust2 33%6 maps
50%8 maps Mirage 62%8 maps
40%10 maps Inferno -0 maps
50%10 maps Nuke 43%7 maps
75%16 maps Ancient 50%8 maps
-2 maps Anubis 33%6 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Astralis
jabbi jabbi1.07
★ Staehr Staehr1.22
siuhy siuhy0.91
phzy phzy1.11
ryu ryu1.16
Inner Circle
onic onic0.92
Dawy Dawy1.07
zeRRoFIX zeRRoFIX1.01
★ headtr1ck headtr1ck1.15
cptkurtka023 cptkurtka0231.10

More on these teams

All Astralis predictions and results
All Inner Circle predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.