CSEdge

Match preview · Stake Ranked Episode 4

Astralis vs FaZe — match prediction & analysis

2 October at 12:00 Oslo · by the CS Edge model

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Astralis arrive in far better shape than FaZe — the recent results are not close. Form is the loudest signal in CS2 and the easiest to over-read, so it is one input here, not the answer.

Astralis come in ranked #11 in the world, FaZe #13.

Our call: Astralis to win — 63% (a medium-risk pick)

Astralis

✅ Cache strength: 78% winrate over 9 maps is a strong tactical pick

✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (82% pick rate)

✅ Head-to-head edge: 80% versus FaZe historically gives veto and psychological advantage

❌ Only 0% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (68% bans) limits their map bargaining

FaZe

✅ Cache strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick

❌ Only 40% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto

❌ Heavy Inferno ban usage (87% bans) limits their map bargaining

❌ Weak head-to-head (20% versus Astralis) undermines matchup confidence

Recent form

AstralisLLWWW3 of 5 won
FaZeLLLLW1 of 5 won

Head to head

Astralis and FaZe have met 5 times in the period we track — Astralis 4, FaZe 1.

9 Mar 2026ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 · Inferno — Astralis16 - 14
9 Mar 2026ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 · Ancient — Astralis13 - 3
9 Mar 2026ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 · Dust2 — FaZe7 - 13
17 Feb 2026PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 · Mirage — Astralis13 - 9
17 Feb 2026PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 · Ancient — Astralis13 - 5

The map pool

Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.

AstralisFaZe
78%9 maps Cache 75%8 maps
0%5 maps Dust2 40%5 maps
33%3 maps Mirage 57%7 maps
38%8 maps Inferno -0 maps
25%8 maps Nuke 75%4 maps
73%15 maps Ancient 40%10 maps

The maps

The veto isn't done yet — map picks land right before kickoff, and this page updates automatically.

Our picks

Per-map picks publish automatically the moment the map veto is done.

Line-ups

Player rating: ★ top · high · average · low

Astralis
phzy phzy1.07
HooXi HooXi0.91
jabbi jabbi1.07
★ Staehr Staehr1.18
ryu ryu1.10
FaZe
JBOEN JBOEN1.09
★ Twistzz Twistzz1.18
jcobbb jcobbb1.06
frozen frozen1.12
Neityu Neityu0.96

More on these teams

All Astralis predictions and results
All FaZe predictions and results

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Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.