On paper this is lopsided: Astralis sit 38 places above Betclic in the world ranking. Those gaps close more often than people expect, so here is what the numbers say once form, head-to-head and the map pool get a vote.
Astralis come in ranked #11 in the world, Betclic #49.
✅ Cache strength: 71% winrate over 7 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Ancient (86% pick rate)
❌ Only 0% winrate on Dust2 over 5 maps — exploitable in the veto
❌ Heavy Anubis ban usage (72% bans) limits their map bargaining
✅ Ancient strength: 75% winrate over 8 maps is a strong tactical pick
✅ Reliably steers the veto to Anubis (62% pick rate)
✅ Strong recent form: 12 wins in last 18 (62%) shows momentum
❌ Practically never plays Inferno (95% banned), reducing veto flexibility
Win, pick and ban rates over the last three months. This is where a series is often decided before it starts — a team can steer the veto onto a map the opponent rarely plays.
phzy1.03
HooXi0.91
jabbi1.06
Staehr1.18
ryu1.09
Betclic
Demho1.05
Prism1.13
ex1st1.19
Qlocuu1.09
ultimate1.04
All Astralis predictions and results
All Betclic predictions and results
Statistical model estimates, published for entertainment. Match data: HLTV.org.